Daily Market Report – 26/05/2015

GBP
Bank holiday weekend has provided
a relatively quiet start to the week for the pound. Friday saw the public
sector net borrowing figure come in at £6.038bn against a £7.9bn consensus, far
better than expected.

A comment from Bank of England member Haldane stated that interest rates would
likely be slow and gradual. Haldane went on to say that he sees inflation
picking up towards the end of this year, however this alone will not be enough

GBP
Bank holiday weekend has provided
a relatively quiet start to the week for the pound. Friday saw the public
sector net borrowing figure come in at £6.038bn against a £7.9bn consensus, far
better than expected.

A comment from Bank of England member Haldane stated that interest rates would
likely be slow and gradual. Haldane went on to say that he sees inflation
picking up towards the end of this year, however this alone will not be enough
ammunition for an interest rate hike. 
 
EUR
Greece intends to make good on its debt
obligations but needs aid urgently to be able to do so, the government said on
Monday, after several senior officials insisted Athens had no money to pay a
loan installment falling due next week. Greek Interior Minister
Voutsis stated on Sunday that Greece will not make repayments to the IMF
of EUR1.6bn expected next month because they have run out of funds and are
unable to meet pension and wage bills. However government spokesman Gabriel
Sakellaridis was quick to deny this at a news conference later in the day,
reiterating the governments’ official stance that it has the responsibility to
pay all of these obligations. It must repay four
loans totaling EUR1.6bn to the IMF next month, starting with
a EUR300m payment on June 5th that is seen as the next crunch
point for state coffers. Sakellaridis also dismissed reports that the
government would try to pay all its June obligations in one lump sum to the
IMF.

USD
Friday saw the release of US CPI,
with core CPI being the highlight showing an increase of 0.3% against a 0.2%
consensus month-on-month, which did cause a rally of the dollar as we headed
into the bank holiday weekend. The Chair of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen
stated on Friday that a rate hike is appropriate at some point during the year,
and once they lift rates ‘’tightening will be done in a gradual fashion’’ were
her words, outlining that it would take several years to return to normal
interest rates but that a rate hike is still on the cards at some point this
year. Fed member Fischer said that he sees an argument for publishing the Fed’s
rate path forecast but says that if they do so, the market must understand that
the Fed has no obligation to stick to it. 

Key Announcements
13:30 – USD – Durable Goods Orders (Apr) – expected to decrease to -0.4% from
4.0% previous
15:00 – USD – Consumer Confidence

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