Daily Market Report – 15/07/2014

EUR
Last night Mario Draghi  discussed monetary policy before the Committee on
Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament. In his speech he
mentioned that Europe’s recovery could suffer if the euro currency strengthened
and that Quantitative easing is potentially the last option for the ECB as it
could improve the supply of bank credit and also increase demand for credit as
banks offer more loans out to businesses.

EUR
Last night Mario Draghi  discussed monetary policy before the Committee on
Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament. In his speech he
mentioned that Europe’s recovery could suffer if the euro currency strengthened
and that Quantitative easing is potentially the last option for the ECB as it
could improve the supply of bank credit and also increase demand for credit as
banks offer more loans out to businesses.

Staff at the International Monetary Fund ( IMF) argued that a new
asset-purchase scheme would drive up growth and inflation. But they also
mentioned that it could cause the euro to strengthen which is not what Europe
is after.

Industrial production in the Eurozone fell by 1.1% in May and a 2.4% fall in
production of intermediate goods – such as parts used for cars. There was
a 2.2% drop in the production of non-durable items such as food or cosmetics.
The energy sector was the only one to grow, showing a 3% increase after a 1.2%
growth in April.

Industrial production in Germany, France and Italy fell month-on-month. Germany
saw the biggest drop since May 2013 with a 1.4% fall.France, with a 1.3%
decline, recorded the steepest fall in production since June 2013 and Italy’s
production registered its worst performance since November 2012 with a 1.2%
drop.

USD
Today we have Janet Yellen speaking, potentially about needing to keep interest
rates near zero for a reasonable period, even after a report this month showed
unemployment fell to an almost six-year low.

Although unemployment fell to 6.1% last month and inflation risen closer to the
Fed’s 2% target, analysts suggest there is still too much uncertainty.The most
anticipated topic is if Yellen will provide more clues as to when the central
bank will raise interest rates for the first time since 2006. 

Key Announcements:
9:30- BST- GBP- Consumer price index YOY expected to go from 1.5% to 1.6%.
9:30- BST- GBP- Core consumer price index expected to go from 1.6% to 1.7%.
10:00- BST- GBP: Mark Carney Speech
13:30- BST- GBP: Retail sales figures MOM expected to rise from 0.3% to
0.6%.

*BST Denotes British Summertime 

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