Daily Market Report - 13/10/2014

On Friday the UK's  trade deficit was reported to narrow by £1.3 billion compared with July 2014. The main factor behind the deficit narrowing was not an increase in exports but a large fall in imports from non-EU countries. Between July 2014 and August 2014, exports of goods decreased by £0.7 billion to £23.2 billion mainly attributed to oil. Over the same period, imports of goods decreased by £2.0 billion to £32.3 billion reflecting falls in imports of aircraft, fuels and chemicals

Mario Draghi and Jens Weidmann are clashing over how much more stimulus the ailing euro-area economy needs from the European Central Bank. As Europe’s woes again proved the chief concern at weekend meetings of the International Monetary Fund in Washington, President Draghi repeated he’s ready to expand the ECB’s balance sheet by as much as 1 trillion euros ($1.3 trillion) to beat back the threat of deflation. Bundesbank head Weidmann responded by saying that a target value is not set in stone.

The ECB is swelling its balance sheet as it seeks to revive inflation of 0.3 percent, its lowest in almost five years by buying private-sector assets and accept collateral from banks in return for cheap loans. Still unresolved is if the ECB will ultimately buy sovereign debt, a taboo subject in Germany where politicians worry it amounts to financing governments and removing pressure on them to act.

Federal Reserve officials sounded an alert over the threat to U.S. growth from a slowdown elsewhere in the world, warning it could make them delay an interest-rate increase. Fed  vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said yesterday in a speech at the International Monetary Fund’s annual meetings in Washington“If foreign growth is weaker than anticipated, the consequences for the U.S. economy could lead the Fed to remove accommodation more slowly."
India’s rupee snapped four weeks of losses on optimism a retreat in oil prices will help narrow the nation’s trade deficit. Brent crude dropped to $88.11 a barrel today, the lowest level in almost four years, and is poised for a 3.1 percent loss this week.

India imports about 80 percent of its oil and its trade shortfall narrowed to $10.8 billion in August from $12.2 billion in July as prices fell. The International Monetary Fund this week raised its 2014 growth forecast for the nation to 5.6 percent from 5.4 percent and predicted Asia’s third-largest economy will expand 6.4 percent next year.

Key Announcements:
USD - Bank holiday today.

There are no Key announcements today.

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